Global Risk Bulletin | Vol 7 2021

In this edition of the Global Risk Bulletin, we dissect the outcomes of several critical elections across Latin America in November, look at the growing threat to life to environmental activists globally, and assess the likelihood of conflict in Bosnia and Herzegovina amid growing tensions within the local political establishment.

Election crossroads in Latin America: Chile, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Venezuela head to the polls

Elections in several Latin American countries were held in November amid significant socio-economic and political strain, which has only been exacerbated by the impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic. In this article, we assess how the chips have fallen, and look ahead to the ramifications of these election results.

Ultimate price: The cost of environmental activism

While environmental activism in many parts of the world takes place under comparatively safe conditions, with the right to protest enshrined in law and accepted as a legitimate means for voicing dissatisfaction, this is not the case everywhere. A growing number of violent attacks and even murders of environmental activists show that many face real dangers. Not only is this a human tragedy, but the reputational risks for businesses associated with violent actions towards activists can be significant.

Dangerous words: The prospect of renewed conflict in Bosnia and Herzegovina

In recent statements the Serbian representative of Bosnia and Herzegovina’s three-person presidency has threatened secession, prompting fears of renewed conflict in the Balkan state. In this article we argue that while this posturing is of concern, at this stage it is unlikely to lead to an outbreak of violence.

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