In this edition of the Global Risk Bulletin, we discuss the nature and scale of the Black Lives Matter movement, assess the impact that the Covid-19 pandemic may have on the threat of terrorism, and provide an outlook for the implications of a recent border clash between India and China.
The Killing of George Floyd: ‘Black Lives Matter’ Goes Global
Demonstrations triggered by the death of George Floyd during an arrest in Minneapolis quickly spread across the US and the world. While some of the protests turned violent, the majority were peaceful events whose participants demanded change to systemic racism and police brutality. We look at some of the key drivers and characteristics of these recent protests, and at how the protests may prompt longer lasting change. Read the article
Exploiting the pandemic: How Covid-19 may increase the threat of terrorism
The Covid-19 pandemic has demanded a shift in security and financial resources globally. While some militant groups have temporarily halted their activities, other groups such as Islamic State have attempted to use the pandemic conditions to further their cause. In this article we discuss how the economic impacts of the pandemic could create the conditions for an increased terrorist threat. Read the article
BAD NEIGHBOURS: THE INDIA-CHINA BORDER STANDOFF
In May, for the first time in decades, clashes between border guards on a disputed boundary between India and China resulted in several fatalities. While both parties have suggested a peaceful resolution is preferable, domestically the leadership in each must appear firm in guarding their respective national interests. Here, we look at how the ongoing dispute is likely to develop. Read the article